Crony life-support system
Who benefits from Dr. M's corporate triage?Amid the generally warm feelings about Malaysia's economic recovery,the regrouping of Malaysia's corporate cronies is a chilling, but alltoo familiar, sight.As happened in the aftermath of the 1985-86 recession, cronies andcorporate proxies of Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad and FinanceMinister Daim Zainuddin again are scrambling to position theirbeleaguered business groups to catch the economic growth wave andstock market boom. Meanwhile, calls for a major restructuring toincrease regional and global competitiveness go unheeded.So, while the lessons of the last crisis should be still fresh, theyare being quickly forgotten. The same vulnerabilities are beingcreated as Mahathir and Daim rush to reenergize their corporatepatronage network. And there remain some variables capable of trippingup Malaysia's nascent rebound -- capital controls and politicaluncertainty being among the most hazardous. In an economic sense, thegovernment is asking for trouble.But, having received special treatment from regulators and billions ofringgit from bailout agencies for the past two years, politicallyfavored groups and cronies will be the first to capitalize on theimproved economic environment. Their political patrons wouldn't haveit any other way.There are, however, some stark differences between the currentpolitical and corporate landscape and that which prevailed in the mid-to late-1980s. These differences will make it easier for Dr. M, Daimand their cronies to command a bigger cut of the growth pie and tosafeguard their corporate gang.Office of prime minister has never been more powerfulFirst of all, the office of Malaysia's prime minister has never beenmore powerful and all encompassing. Not only does every buck stop atMahathir's desk, but just about every federal buck in his vastpatronage machine leaves from the very same desk. This wasn't the casethroughout much of the '80s, when Mahathir was still in the process ofconsolidating power under the executive branch of government andeliminating real and potential political rivals.Secondly, the New Economic Policy, despite the many stabilizingbenefits it brought to Malaysia, set in motion a formidable patronagenetwork among the Malay majority and the subsequent Malay-Chinese(otherwise known as Ali-Baba) business partnerships. The mechanics andagencies used to implement the NEP have, over time, given the UnitedMalays National Organization (UMNO) unparalleled dominion over theeconomy.Dr. M, an early and ardent fan of the NEP, accelerated UMNO's and theexecutive's encroachment into the economy as Deputy Prime Minister andthen as Prime Minister since 1981. But it was Mahathir's broadprivatization policy, initiated in 1983, that eventually establishedhim and Daim as the chief auctioneers of state assets and services,giving them a level of unrestrained patronage and political muscle tosecure their power through the dispensation of business privileges andcushy corporate posts.By the latter half of the '80s, Dr. M's "piratization" program, ascritics soon dubbed it, had gathered enough momentum to crush thepolitical fund-raising sources of his erstwhile opponents. As withmost of Dr. M's best-laid crony plans, however, his privatizationprogram hasn't avoided snags, the PRT monorail, Bakun Dam and IndahWater Konsortium being only a few of the most visibly troublesome.Could it have been otherwise? They're cronies, not seriousbusinessmen.Thirdly, Dr. M has eviscerated the few remaining institutions thatmight have been able to restrain his grand scheme to rule Malaysialike no premier has before. (And, fM hopes, never will again.) Theseinstitutions were the judiciary, the royalty and the civil service.This took some time. In fact, it is only in the past few years thatMahathir has been able to suppress the lingering vestiges ofindependence in some of these institutions.In short, Dr. M these days is unlikely to be legally challenged overone of his unethical or corrupt privatization schemes, as he was inthe 80s, when he awarded the North-South Expressway project toUMNO-owned United Engineers (M) Bhd. Likewise, Mahathir has all butensured that he will never face an impartial judge and run the risk oflosing a legal verdict, as he did on several occasions in the 80s.(Certainly, Dr. M's sacked, beaten and framed former deputy premierand ex-heir apparent, Anwar Ibrahim, can testify to the judiciary'scurrent bent.)Dr M's main threat is a internal political oneAnd you can bet that Dr. M won't hear a querulous peep fromMalaysia's long-pampered royalty. After being clobbered by Mahathir inevery confrontation, they are through tangling with Malaysia's firstcommoner king.So, Dr. M is now far better able to take whatever measures arenecessary to protect his corporate coterie. Mahathir needs to keep itintact to ensure his power base. And, as fish out of water in thereal, competitive business world, the cronies who make up his coterieneed his protection and support just as badly.With the May UMNO party elections, a political challenge remains areal possibility. However, Mahathir's potential UMNO rivals aren'tlikely to make a big fuss about the ongoing corporate shenanigans andregulatory irregularities as Dr. M revives his crony network. Most ofthese rivals either aspire to take over the network, too - or arealready too deeply in the same corporate-political muck to raise astink.With that, let's review the details of Dr. M's and Daim's privatecorporate recovery program, which is fully utilizing the courts, thecentral bank, the Corporate Debt Restructuring Committee, PengurusanDanaharta Nasional, Danamodal Nasional and other agencies to againprime the patronage pipeline.Time dotCom, or Corporate Con?It's hard to be shocked these days by the Mahathir Mafia's excessesin hyping their corporate holdings. They have demonstrated fewscruples and little regard for reality in their attempts to boosttheir stock values for the purpose of fund-raising or acquisitionsusing the inflated shares. But Renong Bhd. chieftain Halim Saad'srecent jargon-filled, high-tech drivel about the "new new thing" thatis Time dotCom is beyond ludicrous.In a shamelessly transparent attempt to hop onto the hip Internetwave, Halim appointed himself managing director of TimeTelecommunications Holdings Bhd., changed its name to Time dotCom anddeclared it to be the future savior of the entire debt-ridden RenongGroup. But wait, Bill Gates he's not; and Microsoft it isn't.Nonetheless, the likes of Chua Ma Yu, co-founder of Rashid HussainSecurities Sdn. Bhd., is plunking down big cash on this supposedbroadband fiber-optic cash cow. Ma Yu has been accused of many thingsover the years, but stupid isn't one of them.Neither Time dotCom nor its parent, Time Engineering Bhd., actuallyowns the optic cable running beside the North-South Expressway and,therefore, can't allay analysts' concerns that someday Time will bestripped of its cable control to bail out yet another ailing Renongsubsidiary, associate company or one of Halim's private investments.Ma Yu knows this. But he also knows that Dr. M badly wants toreconnect Renong's life-support system, which helps explain TimeEngineering's nearly 200% increase in its stock price since thebeginning of the year.And, just in case the new dotCom suffix isn't enough to generate amarket frenzy, Time Engineering, which earlier had run to the courtsfor protection against creditors who are owed roughly RM4.8 billion,announced plans to list its Internet service provider, TimeISP, on theMalaysian Exchange of Securities Dealing and Automated Quotation(Mesdaq). It's a good thing that Mesdaq's listing requirements are solightweight. TimeISP has been operating less than three months and hasmanaged to capture only a handful of customers.In a recent flurry of press interviews, the usually media-shy Halimhasn't actually explained how he intends to transform TimeEngineering, which is more than 46% owned by Renong. All he has saidis that he wants the company to become that most elusive of Webanimals: a one-stop Internet shop. To do that, he'll need lots offoreign expertise and even more government assistance to beat backlocal competition from the likes of Telekom Malaysia Bhd. and itsTMnet ISP and Mimos Bhd. and its market-leading Jaring ISP, as well asthe other Malaysian companies with ISP licenses, such as TechnologyResources Industries Bhd., Maxis Communications Bhd, and DiGiTelecommunications Sdn. Bhd.It's also going to require extra servings of market hype to continuelifting Time's share price, which began soaring late last month, aswell as the share prices of Time dotCom and TimeISP when they arepublicly listed. But the hype is sure to be ladled on because thedisposal of sharply overvalued shares will be the only way for Time topay off its and the Renong Group's debt, while also securing theircreditors' approval for various payback schemes.Mind you, Halim isn't talking about productive and efficient growth inthe assets he has been handed by Dr. M's regime. That would be out ofcharacter for him and most of Daim's corporate proxies. Besides, hemay not have that much time.The Renong group's biggest repayment hurdle, some RM16 billion inzero-coupon bonds issued by toll highway operator Projek LebuhrayaUtara Selatan Bhd. (PLUS) to bailout its parent group, only falls duein 2006. But Halim is no doubt mindful that the protection andpatronage he needs to rebuild the dissipated Renong group may only bearound as long as Dr. M stays prime minister. Even if Halim isn'tworried about the May party elections - and freeMalaysia thinks heshould be - Dr. M has already indicated this is his last term as primeminister; it will end in 2004, at the latest. So, Halim desperatelyneeds a buoyant economy and stock market to quickly wheel and deal theRenong Group's way out of debt.Time Engineering has appointed a bevy of heavy-hitting advisers tohelp with its restructuring plans, such a Credit Suisse First Boston,Arthur D. Little, N.M Rothschild & Sons and Commerce InternationalMerchant Bankers. And to give his e-idea a boost, Halim's Time dotComhas signed a memorandum of understanding with Pacific Internet, one ofthe largest regional ISPs and itself listed on Nasdaq.MAS - still a messMalaysia Airlines chairman Tajudin Ramli for months has been assuringall and sundry that MAS's future is all blue skies, followingback-to-back multi-hundred-million ringgit annual losses. What wouldyou expect him to say?But financial analysts haven't been fooled. Sure, the improvedregional economy naturally has boosted MAS's cargo and passenger loadfactors. But despite that, the national carrier remained below thebreakeven level in the first half of its 2000 financial year.Now that the elections are over and if the economic expansioncontinues, Tajudin's longstanding request to hike domestic airfareshas a good chance of being approved. The MAS chief has gotten morethan his fair share of favors over the years from the Mahathir regime,which suddenly abandoned its much-discussed plans to launch a rivalsecond national airline - Air Asia Sdn. Bhd. - soon after Tajudinacquired his controlling stake in MAS from the government. Dr. M'scronies seldom thrive or even survive in competitive industries.If MAS breaks back into profitability, don't expect it to be becauseTajudin restored the airline's operations or managed to radicallyreduce its burdensome RM12 billion debt. No. Instead, look for apossible fare hike and the certain sale of additional aircraft andproperty - maybe even a return to more "flexible" fuel levels oncertain flights - as MAS's one-minute manager scrambles to boost thebottom line.Still, don't count on MAS pulling out of its red-ink dive. The airlinealready is signaling to the market that rising fuel prices maybludgeon earnings. That excuse doesn't fly as far these days, however.Well-managed carriers elsewhere have wedded sophisticated computeranalysis to their operations to boost cargo and passenger factors andtheir earnings, despite higher fuel costs. With Tajudin at the helm,fM figures that MAS is just flying on fumes when it comes to solid,efficient management direction.The dam that won't dieShunted to the back burner in September 1997 by the Asian financialcrisis, the long controversial Bakun Dam project in Sarawak again islooming large, though not nearly as large as originally planned. Nowenvisioned at only a quarter of its original energy output and abouttwo-thirds less in cost, this anemic son of Bakun is nonetheless amonster project, priced now at RM5 billion.But what fM finds more intriguing are the exorbitant governmentreimbursements being paid to Mahathir-Daim crony Ting Pek Khiing andhis companies, especially primary concessionaire Ekran Bhd., ascompensation for canceling and now revamping the shareholder structurefor the downsized project. Ekran alone would collect nearly RM400million of the nearly RM1 billion settlement, a sum easily in excessof earlier discussed compensation figures.More interesting yet is the Sarawak Electricity and Supply Corp.'ssuddenly elevated status in the revised dam venture. A company in theMulti-Purpose Holdings Bhd. group of companies holds a stake in Sesco.And after the Daim-engineered guerrilla tactics to wrest control ofMPHB last year from T.K. Lim and his family, we all know whoseinterests will be served first as the project is revived.Still King of the RoadDr. M's Boys appear to be doing fine, in no small part thanks to sometimely assistance from daddy. They could have -- and perhaps shouldhave -- fared more poorly, considering their imprudent corporategrowth spree prior to the onset of the Asian crisis. Still, theyalways knew that they could count on their father's helping hand.fM won't bother rehashing old bailouts and handouts for the Boys.Besides, we're more intrigued by what's going on in the nationalroad-haulage industry and by Mirzan Mahathir's efforts to keep outcompetition.Dr. M's No. 1 son carved out for himself a fruitful road haulagebusiness under Konsortium Perkapalan Bhd., now known as KonsortiumLogistik Bhd. But like most cronies, his ambition swelled well beyondhis original plans - and even farther beyond his demonstratedabilities. He soon wanted ships, aircraft and warehousing facilitiesabroad, all seamlessly linked under a massive logistical network.It wasn't just the Asian crisis that crushed Mirzan's fanciful dream.Reality intervened - as it would have sooner or later. Even Mirzanhimself agrees. In a candid interview in July 1998 with shippingjournal Lloyd's List, Mirzan describes how he just had no idea what hewas getting into."I am not a shipping person. When I thought about building a fleet, Iviewed ships as the seaborne part of a much wider chain of gettinggoods from A to B. As such, I had not dwelt on the intricacies of theindustry," Mirzan admitted. "But I [then] realized that shipping ishighly specialized. The way the markets move, the high level oftechnical appreciation needed … makes it impossible for someone tocome in and be a player overnight."In other words, the competitive global shipping industry taught Mirzanthe expensive lesson that the Mahathir name is no guarantee of successin the real world, as it had been in Malaysia. Thank goodness nationaloil company Petronas felt the need to acquire its own shipping arm atthe same time Mirzan sorely needed to sell his.These days, back again to mostly Malaysian road haulage, Mirzan is outto safeguard what remains as the core of his corporate empire. So, ashead of Konsortium Logistik and president of the 12-member ContainerHaulage Association of Malaysia (CHAM), he is leading a rearguardaction to curb or eliminate any disruptive threat to his and theassociation's current business arrangements.The most immediate threat is posed by efforts to deregulate thenation's hauling oligopoly, largely a response to complaints frommanufacturers and other producers about the industry's shoddy and slowservice, the cartel-like setting of hauling rates, and the haulers'inability to meet growing demand. To placate the powerfulmanufacturing lobby, the government is allowing eight new competitorsinto the business.CHAM, of course, doesn't like this one bit. So stay tuned to find outhow the new players fare in the months ahead or whether they evensurvive, without being gobbled up by the established haulagecompanies. After all, it wouldn't be the first time that a heavilyregulated industry is squeezed by regulators and consolidated byraiders linked to Mahathir. Just ask the nation's bankers.Dr. M's been swell to YTLLittle did Francis Yeoh Sock Ping realize how important it would soonbecome for YTL Corp. Bhd. to have been named an independent powerproducer before the 1997 financial crisis erupted.fM readers probably recall the controversy surrounding the naming ofYTL as an early IPP and the sweetheart terms under which theconstruction company secured its gas from Petronas and sold its outputof electricity to Tenaga Nasional Bhd. through an ironclad, long-termcontract. None of the other IPPs signed such cushy deals.But it wasn't until the crisis struck that the guaranteed revenuestream from its Paka and Pasir Gudang power plants arrived just intime to save YTL's bacon. The company's other core businesses -construction; cement making; hotels, resorts and related activities;and property development - were tanking, as would be expected amidstthe worst recession in Malaysia's history.The nation's property and construction sectors, YTL's traditional corebusinesses, were hit hard. And tourists fled. Without its powerplants, YTL would have been squeezed, perhaps even more tightly thanmany other Mahathir-Daim cronies. Instead, Francis Yeoh is among thefew sitting fat and happy - and, more important, still expanding.fM is rather amused by his elder corporate statesman posture duringthe crisis. One would think he had actually timed the IPP to counterthe downturn in YTL's other businesses. Please, he's just one of thelucky ones. And, no doubt, he'll get luckier still.Hooked on the easy IPP bucks provided by the Mahathir regime, Yeoh ispushing to more than double YTL's current power-generating capacity ofmore than 1,200 megawatts. And you know what? With Dr. M as a buddy,it's likely that he will succeed.Measat misses its launchIt was 1997. This was the year tycoon T. Ananda Krishnan had intendedto publicly list Measat Broadcast Network Systems on Mesdaq and onNasdaq in the U.S. This also was to be the year when he would havecashed out his investment on the loss-making butpolitically-privileged satellite system, much like he did whenPetronas was instructed to buy in as a major shareholder in Ananda'sKL City Centre. But, the Asian financial crisis struck. His profitshad to be deferred.The nascent economic recovery and bullish stock market, however, nowhas Ananda dusting off his original blueprint, with an added fillipfrom the global dotCom zaniness. Word is that Dr. M couldn't be morepleased - and more accommodating - than to have the national satellitecompany listed in the "evil West".Air AzmiOver-stretched and deep in debt, Malaysia's newest water baron, WanAzmi Wan Hamzah, got a helping hand from Dr. M's Economic PlanningUnit, presumably through Daim's good offices, in securing a heftystake in Syarikat Pengeluar Air Sungai Selangor Sdn. Bhd. (SPLASH).This is the company tapped to handle Phase 3 of the Sungai SelangorWater Supply system, which will rely on another controversial damproject.The dam, which has enraged many because it will disfigure the scenicSungai Selangor just north of Kuala Lumpur and displace aboriginaltribes from their traditional grounds, is being pitched as the fix forrecurring water shortages in the Klang Valley. What really need to befixed are the leaky and illicitly tapped pipelines that distributewater throughout the capital. That way KL's drinking water would besafer, cheaper and more efficiently managed. But, then, there would benone of the hefty up-front fees generated by a huge infrastructureproject, like the Sungai Selangor dam. You don't get ahead incrony-land by thinking small.As expected, Wan Azmi is in fine company with other politicallywell-connected parties, such as SPLASH partners Puncak Niaga HoldingsBhd., Gamuda Bhd. and the Selangor state government. And the projectis being rammed through, despite the protests and questions.Why the hurry? Well, for one thing, Wan Azmi's main holding company,Land & General Bhd., reported a less than scintillating earnings forthe third quarter ended September 30. The company's profit marginsweren't only slim, they were anorexic. Its heavy interest paymentsmight have had something to do with that.The company expects a "satisfactory" last quarter as the economycontinues to mend. Perhaps. But the financial kicker SPLASH shouldprovide will do far more for Wan Azmi's depleted wallet.MRCB payday with Anwar awayWith Anwar's sacking in September 1998, the market soon buzzed withrumors that Malaysian Resources Corp. Bhd.'s days were numbered. Thespeculation, however, was off the mark.Actually, it was several Anwar supporters, who purportedly controlledMRCB, whose days were numbered. They were taken out of the picturewith such remarkable ease that it called into question who really hadbeen in control of MRCB all along. From then, it was an obvious callthat MRCB would soon be hitched to Dr. M's and Daim's corporate yoke.And that's precisely what has been happening.At first the signals came slowly, picking up only after the Malaysianmarket was well into its current upward trajectory. Among the latestwas the Feb. 8 Securities Commission announcement that MRCB wasgranted permission to split the proceeds from the sale of itsinterests in two power plants. So instead of using the entire RM204million from the sale to pay down its whopping RM1.7 billion debt,MRCB can now use only RM155 million and keep the rest. Why?The answer came less than two weeks later. MRCB needs the capital toteam up with Tenaga Nasional and Kumpulan Darul Ehsan Bhd. to build ahuge power plant to service the greater Kuala Lumpur area, as well asrelocate an existing plant in the Klang Valley.By the way, it was none other than Dr. M's Economic Planning Unit thatput MRCB back on the electric-powered gravy train -- anotherilluminating example of politicized privatization.To slum ... ah ... sum upfreeMalaysia could go on and on about the infusions of fresh bloodinto the comatose crony network. We've highlighted only a few of manyexamples. Reviving the crony network is critical to resupplying thepatronage pipeline with which Dr. M and Daim project their influenceon the intertwined worlds of business and politics. This is why failedconglomerates like Renong and critical national assets like MAS neverget turned over to sharper business minds to run. This is why Malaysiawill remain vulnerable to the next economic crisis, politicallydependent on a crony empire that is overleveraged and woefullyundermanaged. Nobody is learning the lesson that history tries toteach.Even Daim and Dr. M know better than to put all their eggs in thecrony basket. They're taking targets of opportunity as quickly as theappear. We've already written plenty about the ransom bounty that willbe made from the CLOB share hijacking and the forcible concentrationof the nation's banking industry under the government, Dr. M and Daim.And, in the case of the deeply indebted HICOM group, they appear to begiving up on cronies altogether - at least for the time being.Instead, HICOM will raise funds by selling national car maker toPetronas, which has long been the buyer of convenience for politicallysensitive enterprises from Bank Bumiputra (twice) to Mirzan's recentlydivested shipping company. The remaining HICOM units and associateswill be absorbed in a RM6 billion merger that will undo the previousspin-off of such units as Gadek Capital. Anything would be better thanadmitting to the intractable problems with Mahathir's heavy-industry"brainchild".Let's not let the economic recovery blind us to Dr. M's and Daim'schicanery and corruption. Wake up and smell the rot. We're surroundedby it.http://freemalaysia.com/